Why Chief Deputy is Wrong About Crime Stats

Local crime rate: Is it up or down?

This article was extremely inflammatory to me. As a criminologist, it is insulting  and it is ridiculous garbage.  Mr. Robinson, do you homework please.

Chief Deputy Haines and Prof. Hough are misleading the public with the interpretation of the statistics. First, Chief Deputy Haines is trying to look at the long term statistics to say you are safer today than in past decades. The problem here is that he is off point. The focus of all this is explicitly the time Sheriff Morgan has been in office. That is the time in question. Since he was sworn in, crime has been out of step with dropping crime rates within the state and within the country overall. The percentages have been disproportionately higher consistently throughout his administration. The attrition rate (loss of deputies) is directly correlated to this rate. Less officers = more crime.

The next misleading thing Haines throws out is about total arrests. Total arrests is no indication of crime. How many arrests were thrown out, improper or even resulted in numerous crimes being committed under that 1 arrest?  He is trying to confuse you with interchanging 2 terms that are not the same.

Moving on, the following graph shows the God’s honest truth. Escambia County  (from 2009-2015) has a higher crime rate than the state average—consistently. As for Dr. Hough’s suggestion that the .1-.3 percent increase is insignificant, in real numbers, that.1-.3 percent  accounts for 200-250 more violent crimes.  That is significant in Escambia County.

Now to address Dr. Hough’s claim that 2/3 of all crimes are committed indoors.  The semantics here are ALL crime vs violent or street crime. His statement is about all crime. It is misleading  by throwing in other crimes to diminish the statistical value. To make Dr. Hough’s 2/3 statement true, you must include white collar crimes such as embezzlement, fraud and identity theft. Those are not considered “violent”or street crimes and have no place in the statistics. Removing those crimes takes the veracity out of his assertion that 2/3 of crimes (that we are talking about) are committed indoors.

Subsequently, having directed patrolling (patrolling in high crime areas routinely, maintaining a police presence) has always positively affected crime rates. People are less likely to be the victim of a crime in the areas where there is more of a threat of incarceration. This is not rocket science. This concept can be reduced to simple human interactions. When you take your eye off of a kid, will they take a cookie they know they are not supposed to have? Possibly. Will they do it while you are there? Less likely. Reducing the opportunity for crime in the areas where it is most likely to occur is the fundamental cure to high crime.

Please don’t take my word for it. In Journal of Human Sciences, Vol 3 from April 2016, Murat Ozkan discusses the conclusion to his research which boils down to exactly this point. The article is called, “A paradigm shift in policing: Crime reduction through problem oriented policing”.  The main high point of this article is that policing that focuses on people and their motivations for crime, doesn’t work; focusing on reducing the opportunity for crime to occur (ie locking doors, having police presence, proper lighting in high crime areas etc) works.  This is an old concept that is still the most valuable approach to reducing crime.

Sheriff Morgan is trying to put the responsibility of crime on society. He does this by implying citizens don’t control their kids.Then he is implementing numerous neighborhood watch programs trying to make communities the police. If that worked, he shouldn’t have a job to begin with. People with the authority to put other people in jail are more compelling than people without that power, who potentially endanger themselves to try to stop a crime in progress. That is just good sense. It is denigrating for him to say “your bad ass kids cause crime and don’t call the police, fix it yourself”.  That is the line of crap he is laying out.

Finally, Prof. Hough claiming that 2/3’s of all crime happens indoor is lumping in many other crimes than we are talking about here. Many crimes initiate out of doors. What crimes (relevant to the problem in Escambia County ) happen outdoors? Typically, prostitution, car jackings/theft, car burglaries and drug deals happen in open areas. Cervantes Street is known for a reason. Very few car burglaries, which are the big problem here, happen to cars within a parking structure or garage. According to the National Crime Victimization Survey, most crimes happen to people transitioning between activities. In a car, leaving work or the mall, or even leaving home to go to work, school or what have you is where you are most likely to be victimized. That is the crime that can be reduced by police presence.

Also, be aware that according to senior deputies within the ECSO, there is a skewing of these statistics. Deputies have been told to code or report crimes with the least severe code they can. Making a burglary a petit theft for instance would keep that crime off the statistical radar. Sir David is shifty like that.

In the end, people feel the change in safety. More guns are sold; more padlocks or additional security items are flying off the shelves. This isn’t because they feel safer. Also, Eric Haines is doing the community a disservice by skirting the issues and misrepresenting the facts. He is still trying to justify his own inadequacy as Chief Deputy.

Moral of the story: Don’t let anybody try to throw statistics out to convince you one thing is true when you know it is not true. Several different organizations have labeled Escambia County more dangerous than it should be. The talking heads of the ECSO can’t explain that away. (Mostly because it reflects badly on them personally). And by the way, no billboard will make you safer either.

By the way, Mr. Robinson, you should fact-check the people you try to make look smart. You are slanting the information being delivered just as much as the Chief Deputy. You discredit yourself.

haines statistics - DocHub.clipular

 

 

 

 

Part II-An ESCO Deputy Speaks Out: We are Pissed Off!

 

It is not difficult to describe the dysfunction of the ECSO. There is more material to work with than you can imagine. As employees, we see the double standard that is in this place daily and routine for those who are at the top. The constant chatter is that the ECSO has never been run by anyone with the integrity of this administration. As observers of the inner machinations, we are disgruntled when we perceive that the administration–any administration– is incorrect or wrong about an issue. That is commonplace in every organization, but, in this administration, there is no tolerance for disagreement with those who nest in the Ivory Tower.doodle-810-ivory-tower

It is confusing how they believe they are so deserving of respect when we see the workings behind the curtain. Morgan has not made any effort to encourage the officers that work for the ECSO. He spends money on coins to give away so he can look important. If you are lucky,  you may have the chance to be given one–if you are in the right place, at the right time. He gives thousands of dollars to organizations that have little to do with improving communities, drug awareness or crime prevention. But none of those are real problems, according to Chief Haines. They easily circumvent the law due to the vague construction of the65a89-img_3335-1024x768 statute. He actually said that on a live radio show. This is an example of just how honest they are. They are so honest that they will admit on live radio they take advantage of the money from LET because the law isn’t clear.  Wow……..that is alarming by any standard.

We could look at some of the ways Morgan could have spent money from LET that would have been completely honest and would leave no room for judgement.  We can start by looking at equipment. It is not a secret that officers are seeing suspects that are armed with superior weapons than the standard issue 40 cal. handguns that are those issued for deputies. All of the officers assigned to patrol could be equipped with a weapon that would give them an equal chance of survival with an armed suspect. The cost for all officers assigned to patrol, to be issued a weapon that is adequate, is roughly 120K. That is less than the cost of the billboards that have Morgan’s picture plastered on them with the idiotic advice of locking doors. No shit, Moron. I doubt any of us who own a vehicle were confused about what that clicky thingy was on our doors! Yet, he decides to go and spend 130K on putting his picture out there on every sign he could buy. We are supposed to believe  him when he explains that it was a coincidence that it just happens to be a political season. You have got to be kidding me. If he thinks anyone with a brain, with actual activity, believes that, he is an idiot. Of course he bought the signs with the idea that he would be seen everywhere and was assured by his intellectual giant of a Chief that he could smooth it over with deputies who disagree.  The law of the land is this: “The minions will be told what they are to think and that will be that. We will fire them if they think independent thoughts without permission.” Just ask Buddy Nesmith.

There are some good causes out there that could benefit from LET money. We could start with youth sports. It is a great cause and many kids are saved by being involved in team sports. However, Lumon May is not the only one who is involved in sports. There are many deputies that take the time to coach kids in a variety of sports. Why would Morgan not let every employee know that the agency they work for will help with any sponsorship that is needed for youth activities? The majority of baseball teams are required to raise an average of $500 for a full sponsorship of a team. If you consider 25K given to Doug Underhill for the Cyberthon program, helping approximately 50 students a year ($500/per student), it starts to be concerning. That same amount of money would have sponsored 50 baseball teams. There is an average of 13 kids on a team. Morgan could have helped 650 young people (at about $39 per student) with a chance to experience the joy of being a part of a team. He could have offered a chance for 650 kids to be off the street learning about something other than drugs and crime. This is a good analogy of the community. Morgan wants to help the few–more elite– than the many whose lives could be changed by that $39. 

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March 2016

In case the point was missed, I’ll explain further. Morgan cares about pleasing a certain few that increase his positioning in life. May and Underhill to name a couple. I mentioned the name Lumon May and left out the details that even his brother is in on the gig. These two guys are in charge of raising money at ball parks and churches all over the county. The same guys that refused to obey lawful commands of a sworn police officer. These two people get the proceeds from our agency that was obtained by officers risking their life. Why? I can tell you that it is offensive but only a person that has been a cop would know how it truly feels. It is so insulting to see Morgan give money to these guys when he has seen the conduct and sense of entitlement they display when involved in a situation they don’t like. Morgan would have no idea how this feels or looks from an officer point of view because he failed to ever become a cop. He can’t rely on his staff to inform him because it has been established they are mere peons.   I guess it is a way to buy his way into the club and it has a net cost of zero to him. He didn’t risk his life obtaining the funds. Why would he care who gets the money?

In all fairness he has given to PHS girls soccer……wait I think a campaign contributor has a kid on that team. In fact, that contributor happens to be the CFO for the agency. Would there be any bets on if the name Underhill shows up? If you said yes you would be correct. It almost slipped by because the donation is in the name of the wife of Underhill. I guess they didn’t think we would put that together so fast. That is only a quick look at the contribution report. Imagine what would happen if someone actually took the time to look at each contribution and each LET expenditure. It isn’t just Morgan that is to blame. The people on that list know what is happening. Especially Underhill, a quick search of public records would show he has extensive knowledge of how to manage money or maybe mismanage would be a better description. This is the guy that Morgan considers best for the job. He has no proven record of managing even his personal affairs and is slippery at best.  

If you listen to Morgan his “blind” promotion system has been a wonderful addition to the agency. If it works so well why wouldn’t he use it for his staff? One reason could be Haines and his wife probably wouldn’t donate to him. Tharp wouldn’t donate. He would lose thousands of dollars from his staff. It is such a hypocritical message and insulting to believe Morgan thinks everyone is too stupid to see it.   

The truth is that Morgan does not care about the employees or the kids. Haines said it best “we can use the money for anything because the laws are so vague”. With that mentality why would you care about using the money for what it was intended to be used for in the community? Use the money for what best serves the needs of the administration. It is not a secret that all of the administration will be job hunting if Morgan gets beat. Where else could they go and have such a commanding presence with so little ability? thug life1

The dangerous part of all of this is that it just shows Morgan’s disregard for the safety the community. The crime stats just prove that it is harmful to all of us for this man to be in charge at the ECSO.  He gives cops all over the country a bad name. Then as if that isn’t bad enough Morgan have the audacity to claim that “his administration” possesses integrity. Simply put………………….PATHETIC!

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So in a nutshell……..we, the deputies, are not so stupid after all. We know what Morgan is doing and it makes us hate going to work. The problem is–until someone sees it– we, the deputies, are stuck. We are all caught up in Morgan’s game of expanding his influence and wealth.  We are being used and will be promptly thrown out when we serve no further purpose to that end . A man in his position that cared about employees and the community would not be so careless with the money that men and women that are truly honorable risked their life to get.

VM-Over 2016

I haven’t posted for a while because I’ve been reflecting on VMO 2016-365 reasons to vote out Morgan (McNesby). This is not what I want to be remembered for. Does Escambia County have a Morgan problem? Why, yes, it does. As a former resident and person who, now, questions calling Pensacola, “my hometown”, because of the state of affairs in the city, I should not be the one to save the soul of the city.  The people, who make Pensacola fabulous, need to raise some hell.

I am an educated, recognized blogger. My credentials consist of the Dean’s List throughout my Bachelor’s of Science program, working with criminologists, judges, authors and psychologists. I was privileged enough to be accepted into Vanderbilt University’s Master program that less than 100 people are currently in. I have letters of recommendations from people with alphabet soup behind their names and I have earned my stripes with colleagues who happen to be some of the most recognized in Pensacola. I bring legitimacy, education and sincerity to the table of everything I do. Yet Sir David would have you believed I could be reduced to a lone nut who has a grudge.  There is no part of that statement that is accurate.

Vanderbilt University - Vanderbilt - Best College - US News.clipular

13.1 % acceptance rating–that means over 86% of applicants are accepted. So much for your lone nut theory Sir David.

Also, please note, that I have no personal vendetta against Sir David, except for the trail of deaths and ruined lives he leaves in his wake. I said “leaves” because I am confident that Sir David will be run out on a rail or in jail by the first day of 2017. The people, upstanding and the outlaw element, have the same stories of what goes on in Pensacola. ALL THE STORIES ARE THE SAME, with respect to Sir David’s involvement. Favoritism, retaliatory behavior, abuse of power, manipulation of evidence, threats of all kinds, and failure to own up to his malfeasance as a leader. Each and every case that comes my way has these elements in it.

Why do cases come my way and how many are we talking about? Failure to address the problem through procedural or regimental avenues have been ignored, minimized or thrown out because of the layers of corruption in the law enforcement community in Florida. Where do you go when the police are the bad guys?  You come to people like me who will research and document things to bring some exposure to the case. There have been many overlapping cases. That being said, there is no exact number.  I deal with roughly 20 people who have been detrimentally harmed by Sir David’s gang of injustice.  That may not be a lot but even one is too much when you about how profoundly people have been affected by the rippling of misdeeds.  People have died who should not have died because of Sir David. Marriages lost. Kids turning away from parents under false allegations. Property has been lost. People have been debased that had no malice against Sir David. Lives have been lost, earthly and publicly. That’s why I do what I do. I would venture to say 1000+ people have been affected, personally, in some way from aforementioned favoritism, retaliatory behavior, abuse of power, manipulation of evidence, threats of all kinds, and failure to own up to his malfeasance as a leader.

imageThat is my problem with Sir David and thugs. Haines likes to justify and make excuses but there is no excuse for being a sociopathic person. That is what Morgan is.  The DSM IV (professional diagnostic standard; recognized universally) says sociopathy is described by just 3 of the following behaviors:

  1. Callous unconcern for the feelings of others.
  2. Gross and persistent attitude of irresponsibility and disregard for social norms, and obligations.
  3. Incapacity to maintain enduring relationships, though having no difficulty in establishing them..
  4. Very low tolerance to frustration, a low threshold for discharge of aggression, including violence.
  5. Incapacity to experience guilt or to profit from experience, particularly punishment.
  6. Markedly prone to blame others or to offer plausible rationalization for the behavior that has brought the person into conflict with society.

Suffices to say, the 1000+ people negatively affected by Sir David Morgan’s actus reus (law term for behavior and intent to engage in a crime) qualifies him for the label of sociopathy. For those who might be interested in tactics in dealing with a sociopath, SociopathWorld.com is a good reference.

I pose this question to the people of Escambia County: Should your Sheriff be a sociopath?

As for me, I will be focusing on the victims rather than Sir David and that is not to say that he is out of the crosshairs. He is the weakest link in the corrupt string of scum that are taking advantage of the community. And knowing the psychological profile of Sir David, he will try to save his own neck and roll over on Eddins and the money funding the corruption. You know the saying, “a chain is only as strong as its weakest link”? Well that link is corroding as we speak.

Also just FYI, Morgan has an agenda to get re-elected and step down to put Eric Haines as the Sheriff. He’s doing this because Haines COULD NOT get elected himself. Morgan is looking for higher political aspirations, possibly guaranteed by powers that be in Pensacola.  So know that if you vote Morgan, you will be getting Haines. He is a PCC graduate that has no effective law enforcement training, less leadership ability (if that is possible), and no charisma. He is the excuse guy who swoops in and tries to justify the most egregious of actions by the ECSO.

VMO 2016 #4: Allows Deputies to be Thugs

#4-Allows Deputies to be Thugs

Once again, even though it goes back to leadership, this behavior of letting deputies like Thomas, Smith, the Von Ansbach Young clan, Haines, and the various other Morgan men who do what they damn well please, there will never be any respect for the department. People in society will only live up to the standard they have to and with deputies doing what they please by allowing sex offenders access to children or bailing them out while trying to justify these actions are seen as playing favorites and creating a double standard that could be defined as law enforcement vs common man or for the sake of argument, white man’s crimes vs black man’s crimes. All the deputies mentioned are white.

Race is not always the card being played, however, when the appearance that it COULD be is enough to throw the gauntlet down on race relations in Escambia County. This sort of double dealing of justice makes  it possible to offer the theory that race is the motive more so than criminality. Isn’t that just what Escambia County and Pensacola needs–a reason to validate suspicions of ingrained racists within the higher levels of  law enforcement?

Haines and the Von Ansbach Young clan believe they are above the law. Hell before they took it down, Erin Ambrose had pictures of her schmoozing with Circuit Court Judges and their families on a social level. This sort of relationship creates a conflict of interest and unfortunately there is far too much of that already. Fraternizing with clients, customers, co-workers and colleagues gets most people fired.

 

Why is that? Because of the fact, as humans and “friends”, people want to be accepted. That need allows criminal beh10473866_10204243856329120_2942019695593477156_navior or character flaws to be ignored due to friendship rather than being impartial and applying justice equally. But don’t take my word for it. Look at Ms. Ambrose, the Von Ansbach Youngs and poor Marbc64e-escambia2bsheriff2527s2bk-92btops2bat2bnational2btrials2b-2bstuder2bcommunity2binstitute-clipulark Smith, why should they give up their fun times together because of a little bit of ethics?  Not everybody dines with a judge and a pedophile at one table.

Malfeasance Compounded

Chief Deputy Eric Haines disclosed to me in a Facebook conversation a very important detail to me :

10/4, 7:33am

There are no, as in zero, videos of any deputies, including the two who were arrested with the underage girls. There are not even pictures documenting any illegal activity. No one including the girls themselves have accused any other deputies of any other illegal activity. I know you believe there is and have been told there is but it is not true. This truth will come out in trial. 

Now there are a number of problems with these statements.

  1. The probable cause warrant to search the house discussed video and photo evidence.
  2. The evidence was actually seized and people were arrested based on this now, non-existent evidence.
  3. If there was no such evidence, on what grounds did the ECSO destroy 4 adults lives without any evidence? Where is the due diligence? (this is rhetorical because everyone is aware there was initially video/photo evidence that resulted in the arrests of these people)

What Chief is telling me here is this:

There is no longer any evidence, albeit by virtue of incompetence or wrongful acts. These victims will not see justice so that 2 deputies can remain deputies.hive of scum & villany

The natural question becomes how can the ECSO do something like this? What about the State Attorney’s office? It appears the SAO has climbed into bed with Sir David on this because they are trying to QUIETLY plead this case down to misdemeanors instead of felonies. However, it will not be “quietly” on my watch.

I am a mother (who has never lost custody of my own kids, contrary to anything Mrs. Patterson claims) and a human being who cannot help but feel like it is my duty to jump in when I see something this grossly harmful and hateful done to anyone much less young girls who have no knowledge or understanding of the many ways they are being exploited, abused, and re-victimized.  How dare anyone take the liberty to diminish the rights of the innocent over the rights of the sexually deviant.

So here’s what I’m gonna do. I am going to repost all the stuff about these predators who wear badges, including you, Chief, because if you don’t stop the problem, then you are the problem.

sexual predator

Deviance Pensacola Style

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Mr. Morgan, Mr. Haines, Mr. Craig,

I feel like we have a good little discussion going on the ethical lapse in Pensacola. My specialty, besides criminology, is psychology. Deviance intrigues me. I developed a curiosity in understand why people do what they do. Just to give you a little background, (so you know I know of what I speak),

I am the daughter of Jim Barnett, a man who ran numbers from Sammy Fiorella, founder of Sammy’s Gentlemen’s Club in Birmingham in the 1950’s. I am the niece of Michael Maddox, who was deadly con man. He is probably the most colorful person in the family. God rest his soul. In 1985, he was a millionaire in Los Angeles; he owned a business Goldex, Inc. He defrauded millions from people but he dabbled in other industries. He trafficked cocaine and arms within the Medellin Cartel. I can recall as a child, him flying in out of nowhere with his son, who is my age. He rented a car and had to do business in Atlanta and New Orleans. He did them as day trips as to be home for dinner with my mother and I. His business partner in Atlanta, Maxy (Max Mermelstein) was the money man and he worked with another man Harry (Berkenthal). Both I know, now, were accountants for Pablo Escobar. His day trip to New Orleans was with Joey Marcello (son of Carlos Marcello). My uncle was a “Cocaine Cowboy“.

My mother worked for the Alexiou family in Birmingham. I was at the wedding of Hedy Alexiou to Carlos Levya Beltran (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlos_Beltr%C3%A1n_Leyva). So deviancy and illegal activity has been my life.

The intent of this post is to look into your family Mr. Morgan. Your step-children, Gregory William Demetreon and Antoinette M. Demetreon ( Porn names: Blaze & Rose) are said to be willing participants in sexual racketeering. Now, in psychological terms, the deviance defined by the children (or step-children) is usually in direct relation to the deviance they have been exposed to. When I cogitate on that fact, I then look at your associates, such as Arety Kapetanis, who is person who is in the sex industry. That is no secret. Then to see your deputies and lascivious behavior of the deputies in the news the last few weeks, along with Deputy Majors who also was a sexual predator, I have to say with all the information of the people with whom you surround yourself, I think you may fall into the sexual deviance category. It seems logical that the dog that lays down with other dogs who have fleas will end up having fleas himself. So what do you think? Logic infers that there is a sexual deviance problem in close proximity to the highest officer of the law in Escambia County. Why then would anyone think you are not just as deviant?